Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.626727 1.866616 2.133784 2.454117 2.828718 3.254055 3.775196
2025-03-23 1.240551 1.553454 1.937352 2.446205 3.107741 3.945110 5.095551
2025-03-30 1.018749 1.351015 1.785642 2.401999 3.263585 4.440010 6.193414
2025-04-06 0.893304 1.240904 1.719921 2.438126 3.504735 5.057457 7.539376
2025-04-13 0.774069 1.117014 1.610396 2.385299 3.596348 5.458267 8.619724
2025-04-20 0.716929 1.071926 1.603632 2.476174 3.907786 6.227635 10.405535
2025-04-27 0.647494 0.998028 1.541585 2.468219 4.054778 6.748069 11.860774
2025-05-04 0.606959 0.963237 1.534453 2.544883 4.348468 7.553732 13.965952
2025-05-11 0.560213 0.912383 1.494060 2.557689 4.529086 8.182045 15.851571
2025-05-18 0.519395 0.866491 1.455894 2.567683 4.702897 8.819773 17.873639
2025-05-25 0.470473 0.801400 1.377047 2.492806 4.703707 9.119238 19.240903
2025-06-01 0.435346 0.756914 1.329725 2.470317 4.802011 9.626273 21.158749
2025-06-08 0.395694 0.704581 1.270278 2.432941 4.899013 10.220565 23.599762
2025-06-15 0.362575 0.661664 1.225346 2.422658 5.062208 11.016873 26.815322
2025-06-22 0.330115 0.615946 1.168821 2.378995 5.143218 11.640968 29.770060
2025-06-29 0.309916 0.591578 1.151160 2.414735 5.409690 12.760839 34.396914
2025-07-06 0.283542 0.551868 1.097319 2.362470 5.458943 13.351935 37.705022
2025-07-13 0.272694 0.542577 1.105666 2.452377 5.872337 14.979957 44.675680
2025-07-20 0.254701 0.516323 1.074390 2.444508 6.036072 15.970431 49.965730
2025-07-27 0.244837 0.506349 1.077605 2.520352 6.435001 17.722178 58.467593
2025-08-03 0.231236 0.486736 1.056734 2.533022 6.664319 19.030907 65.901119
2025-08-10 0.218652 0.468098 1.035958 2.542909 6.888376 20.381272 74.038429
2025-08-17 0.201952 0.438456 0.985991 2.468832 6.853831 20.897520 79.081345